LIST of Most Important Topics Covered during Fall 2008 (in terms of Lecture Time, book coverage, and Exercises and Tests) ================================================================== NB. During the Monday 12/15/08 review session, these topics will be annotated with specific Section and Subsection numbers from the Bickel and Doksum and Rohatgi and Saleh texts. TOPICS (1) Statistical Models: identifiable parameters, ideas of coordinate changes of data and of parameters [Secs. 1.1.1-1.1.3] (2) Sufficiency: definition, factorization theorem, definition of completeness and minimal sufficient statistics, proving minimality by showing that the log-likelihood uniquely determines a particular sufficient statistic. Rao-Blackwellization. Finding UMVUE's based on complete sufficient statistics. [Sec. 1.5, 3.4.2 in Bickel-Doksum; Rohatgi & Saleh Sec. 8.3] (3) Bayesian basics: defintions, posterior calculation, conjugate priors. [Sec.1.2] (4) (Bayesian) Decision theory formulations of estimation and hypothesis testing problems; randomized decision procedures; relevance of posteriors to explicit solution for Bayes optimal decision rules in squared-error loss, absolute-error loss, and (weighted) misclassification-indicator loss problems. [Sec. 1.3, with additional explanation in Sec. 3.2] (5) Estimating equations, Maximum Likelihood, Generalized Method of Moment Estimation: definitions and calculation in simple examples. [Sec. 2.1, 2.2.2] (6) Fisher Information & Cramer-Rao lower bound. Relation between Jensen inequality and bias. [Sec. 3.4.2, B.9.] (7) Exponential families: recognizing and verifying --- identifiability of parameters --- rank of sufficient statistic; facts about natural canonical families --- equivalence between identifiability & rank conditions these and conditions based on A(eta), --- completeness of sufficient statistics for ; conjugate families of priors; --- MLE's as generalized moment estimators for sufficient statistic; --- attainment of C-R bound by suff. stat. [Sec. 1.6, 2.3, 3.4.2] (8) Neyman-Pearson Lemma & Likelihood ratio tests. Randomized & nonrandomized tests. Monotone Likelihood Ratio property and UMP tests. [Sec. 4.2 and 4.3.] OTHER TOPICS [e.g. Delta Method, Multivariate Normal, Applying spectral representation of matrices & EM Algorithm ] which we covered will not be in scope for the exam. NOTES. You ought to be prepared to answer a short question based on each definition and major theorem in the list (1)-(8).